Index Funds Are Only Part of Your Investment Plan by jim on September 08, 2008

Rolling the Dice on the Stock MarketThere isn’t a single reason why you shouldn’t like index funds. They’re cheap, they offer market rates of return without fail, and they are simple to buy. They beat actively managed mutual funds a majority of the time and they are often advocated as the best investment the average Joe can put their money in. So why not put all your money into an S&P 500 Index fund like the Fidelity Spartan 500 Index or the Vanguard 500 Index, call it a day and enjoy more time with the family? Because that would be a huge mistake.

The reality is that you can’t just open an account a online discount broker, buy only index funds or index ETFs, and then call it a day. The advice of personal finance experts isn’t that you should invest only in a single index fund, it’s to invest in a basket of index funds that diversifies your risk and offers you a fair return for the risk you are taking. An index fund represents only a small part of your diversified portfolio, it shouldn’t represent the entire portfolio because it exposes you to risk without paying you adequately for it.

Risk #1. Domestic Risk

If you have everything in an S&P 500 fund, then your portfolio depends on the performance of the United States economy. As anyone who has seen their brokerage statement lately, the stock market has declined significantly since last October and the economy has been slowing down since at least six months to a year beforehand. If 100% of your investment portfolio is in domestic investments, you’re over exposed to one single country. While it’s the best country in the world, it’s still risky to put all your eggs in this basket. Some of the greatest investment gains the last few years, helped on by the decline in the value of the dollar, has come in the emerging markets funds. While I wouldn’t advise plowing all your money there (especially now that the dollar is recovering), experts recommend around 5-10% of your assets in emerging markets funds.

Risk #2. Equity Risk

An S&P 500 index fund is 100% stocks (duh), which is probably at least double digit percentage points higher than what you probably want your stock allocation to be. As I mentioned earlier, the stock market had a 20% haircut from its highs last fall and if you held just an equity index fund like the S&P 500, you took on the full brunt of that fall. Experts advocate the 120 minus age rule when it comes to stock allocation: your stock allocation should be [120 - your age] percent of your portfolio, with the rest being in bonds. While the equation is subject to tweaking based on your situation and risk tolerance, the idea behind it is that you shouldn’t be too exposed to equities because they’re riskier than bonds.

Solutions

Are you convinced yet that 100% into an index fund is a mistake? I couldn’t just leave you with an explanation of what not to do without giving you a solution! There are two solutions for those who like to “set it and forget it:”

Solution #1. Target Retirement or Lifecycle Funds

Target Retirement or Lifecycle funds (Vanguard calls them Target Retirement, Fidelity calls them Lifecycle) are funds that adjust their asset allocation as the years pass. The idea is that you buy a 2045 Fund if you intend to retirement in 2045 and the broker adjusts the asset allocation such that the risk gets lower and lower as that date nears. Target retirement and lifecycle funds are composed of other mutual funds, many of which are passively managed. These funds are truly for the “set it and forget it” types because the broker rebalances the fund for the investors based on their models (and each broker’s model is different, I once wrote about how these target retirement funds compared with the 120 stock rule).

Taking a look at Vanguard’s 2045 fund, you’ll see that the asset allocation is composed of six funds in varying allocations:

  • Vanguard Total Stk Market Idx Fd Inc - 70.22%
  • Vanguard European Stock Index - 10.10%
  • Vanguard Total Bond Market Index - 10.00%
  • Vanguard Pacific Stk Idx Fd Inc - 4.38%
  • Vanguard Emerg Markets Stk Idx Fd - 3.81%
  • Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF - 1.46%

Solution #2. Lazy Portfolios

Lazy Portfolios are cleverly named portfolios that are designed specifically for the lazy “set it and forget it” crowd, which includes yours truly. They are simply asset allocation recommendations that rely on a basket of low cost mutual funds, which include index funds, to build a portfolio that is easy to manage. The most well known of these portfolios is the Couch Potato Portfolio, created by Dallas Morning News columnist Scott Burns, and it’s a 50-50 split of the Vanguard 500 Index Fund and the Vanguard Total Bond Fund Index Fund. Other cleverly named titles includes the Margaritaville Portfolio, the Coffeehouse Portfolio, and others.

The lazy portfolios aren’t entirely “set it and forget it” because they don’t rebalance themselves every year. Think of the portfolios as a recommended asset allocation, you still have to go in every year and rebalance them back to their recommended percentages.

(Photo: DustinMatthews)


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Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae Failure Imminent by jim on September 06, 2008

Foreclosure SignIt’s no longer imminent, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have been assumed by the Federal Housing Finance Agency.

It seems extremely likely that the government will be taking over Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae.

Experts believe that this weekend, a mere two months after Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson secured permission from Congress, the government will put the two mortgage giants into conservatorship. It’s the same thing that the FDIC does to banks when they fail (another one, Silver State Bank in Nevada, went under on Friday, they are now under the management of the Treasury. The FDIC often tries to find a buyer, but in this case that probably won’t happen (Silver State Bank was taken over by Nevada State Bank of Las Vegas and branches are expected to be open on Monday for business).

Why is government rescuing these two companies? It’s because they own a ton of mortgages and need time to weather the storm. By putting the organizations into conservatorship, they prevent the company’s leadership from taking any risky gambles to try to get out of this mess. They also improve both organizations’ ability to borrow money and it calms down the housing market. Much of the liquidity in the housing market comes from the fact that Freddie and Fannie are willing to buy loans from smaller lenders. That’s the reason why jumbo loans often have much higher interest rates, you can’t sell a jumbo loan to Freddie or Fannie (the loan amount is above their limits). If that liquidity goes away, the housing problems we’ve been seeing will get much much worse.

How does this affect you? It probably won’t. Fortune estimates it would cost tens of billions to bail out these two organizations, which isn’t too bad considering they have $5 trillion on their books (and most of those are for loans that won’t default). If you were a common shareholder, your shares are likely worth nothing now. If you had any of their bonds, you’re still perfectly fine.

We live in interesting times!

Paulson readies the ‘bazooka’ [Fortune]
U.S. Rescue Seen at Hand for 2 Mortgage Giants [New York Times]


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Don’t Invest In What You Know by jim on August 21, 2008

This is a Devil's Advocate post.

One of Peter Lynch’s most famed principles of investing is “Invest in what you know.”

I humbly disagree.

You Don’t Actually Know

The only problem with that bit of advice is that, as human beings, we tend to have too high an opinion of our own intelligence and abilities. In other words, you think you “know” but you probably don’t actually know as much as you think you do, or as well as you think you do.

I was studying computer science at Carnegie Mellon University during the tech boom of the late nineties and (very) early 2000s. I saw all these technology companies offering great services and saw that there was a very bright future in technology. I saw that the future of commerce was online so I believed that companies like Amazon.com and Buy.com and Overstock.com would be the future powerhouses (none have reached they tech bubble peaks, but all are doing relatively well… though Overstock’s CEO keeps complaining about the shorts). The only problem is that while I knew basic computer science theories, I didn’t actually know much about technology companies and the business world. I thought I knew, but I didn’t.

Too Many Eggs In One Basket

Another reason this bit of advice is dangerous is because it depends localized knowledge and, more specifically, often knowledge of an industry you’re working in. That’s dangerous for the very same reasons why people often recommend that you don’t invest your 401(k) money in company stock. When you invest your 401(k) in your own company, you run the risk of being hit with a double whammy if a market downturn affects your company. You don’t want your long term retirement assets pegged to your job, right? While the reverse may still hold true, if things go well then they go doubly well for you, it’s a risk that simply isn’t worth it in the opinion of most financial advisers.

Diversify Everywhere

Let’s say that you really do know an industry inside and out, that’s still only one industry. While Lynch’s advice wasn’t that you should put 100% of your investments into any one thing, it could be misunderstood. If you’re supposed to invest in what you know, shouldn’t you invest it all in at least that industry? Or that one country? I live in the United States, I “know” the United States, does that mean I should invest in domestic markets only? Probably not.

Even Those Who Know, Don’t

In reading Full of Bull, I saw how weak industry analysts were at predicting the trends in the industries they were covering. They spend their entire days analyzing industries, far more than what you would do if you worked in that industry, yet they were unable to pick the winners from the losers with any consistency. While part of the reason was because they had to play the marketing game, the reality is that the market is more of a random walk than an orderly march. Even those who devote their entire careers to tracking specific industries aren’t good at picking the winners.

I know I took a good statement and twisted every which way but I think it’s valid. Don’t invest with what you know, invest in fund who are led by people who know a lot and who invest in a lot of things. Or buy an index fund. :)


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Bubbles Burst When People Invest in Symbols by jim on August 13, 2008

Tulip Mania!One of the best things I ever did was read Wall Street: A History: From Its Beginnings to the Fall of Enron by Charles R. Geisst. In it, I learned about the famous tulip bulb craze in 1630s. During that craze, people were buying exotic colored tulips like they were going out of style (which they soon would) and many folks ended up with little more than a couple pretty flowers (check Wikipedia for the full scoop).

Let’s compare that with the dot com bubble and the housing craze and see if there are any similarities. In the dot com boom, investors were putting money into companies that were little more than an idea and a URL. In the tulip bulb boom, someone was able to sell shares in a company that claimed to one day be involved in the trading of tulip bulbs (this is based on my memory of what was included in Geisst’s book, there’s no mention of this on the Wikipedia page), only to run off with the money. In the housing craze, people were given 100% LTV loans based on the magic lenders were able to make in the books and not based on the borrower’s actual ability to pay (in this case, the lender was the investor). So in all three cases, the bubbles formed because people were so greedy that they invested in the “symbol” and not the fundamentals.

The lesson here is that you shouldn’t let greed cloud your judgments. Remember that Rule #1 is “don’t lose money.” Warren Buffett is plenty rich and he basically skipped the dot com boom. Some had written him off because he missed it but he said that he was just fine. Buffett only invests in things he can understand. He couldn’t understand why people were paying these ridiculous valuations for companies that had zero earnings.

So, the next time you see people acting all crazy (how many people told you to invest in a hot stock or to buy a house because it can’t do anything but go up?), don’t jump in. Watch from the sidelines and you’ll save yourself a lot of money.

(Photo: powi)


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Pick Investments Strategies That Fit Your Lifestyle by jim on August 13, 2008

Blurry Stock TickerThe key to a successful investment plan is to pick one that fits your personal style. If you’re always busy and simply can’t find the time to pay attention to your investments, you need to pick a style that matches your life. There’s no sense adjusting your life to your investments, it should be the other way around. It’s difficult to pigeonhole anyone into one particular bucket but find the various suggestions in each grouping to see how best to use them to match your life.

The Novice

Everyone starts as a novice, there’s absolutely no shame in being a beginner when it comes to the stock market. In fact, it’s probably better that you’re a beginner. It was the experts that got us into the whole sub-prime mortgage mess. Until they closed their doors, the halls of Bear Stearns was full of experts. That being said, if you’re a novice when it comes to the stock market, put your money into a high yield savings account and start playing with a “play portfolio” at one of the finance sites. While you’re learning, your savings will still earn a nice interest rate.

When I was learning, I used Yahoo! Finance and a tool over at The Motley Fool (if you’re a novice, The Motley Fool is a great place to learn more about the markets). You can use one of any number of play portfolios to hone your skills and get used to the stock market (without the pesky “losing money” part).

The Regular Joe (or Jane)

The Regular Joe is someone who likes to check up on stocks every once in a while (whether that’s once a day, once a week, or once a year) and keep up to date on the financial news. He or she has the time and inclination to read the news but simply isn’t terribly interested in everything that’s going on in the financial word. The solution? Try a “Lazy Portfolio.”

A lazy portfolios are buy-and-hold portfolios that consist of low-cost & no-load index funds. They are the bane of Wall Street and brokers hate them. They are created by financial experts and they perform quite well. Here are a few of the cooler sounding ones:

  • Couch Potato: 50% Vanguard 500 Index & 50% Vanguard Total Bond Fund Index
  • Sophisticated Couch Potato: 75% Vanguard 500 Index & 25% Vanguard Total Bond Fund Index
  • Margarita: “One part total stock index, one part international stock index and one part inflation-protected Treasury securities.” (if you went Vanguard, that’d be 33% Total Stock Market Index fund, 33% Total International Stock Index fund, and 33% Inflation-Protected Securities Fund)
  • Coffeehouse: 40% Intermediate Bond Index, 10% in each of Total Bond Index, S&P 500 Index Fund, Large-Cap Value Fund, Small-Cap Fund, Small-Cap Value Fund, International Fund, and a REIT index fund.
  • No-Brainer: 25% in an S&P 500 Index Fund, Small-Cap Fund, European Stock Fund and a Total Bond Market Fund.

There are plenty of other options out there, and you don’t have to go with Vanguard, but those should get you started.

The Gambler

Everyone has a bit of gamble in them, some have more than others. I used to play quite a bit of online poker and blackjack in college, so I know that feeling. I know that rush of seeing good things happen and the despair when bad things happen (all too well), so I’m familiar with that mentality. I don’t gamble much anymore but it’s easy for one to fall into the trap of playing a little too much with the investment portfolio. So many of the same features of the stock market mimic the casino. Your money isn’t “real” money, it’s just numbers on a screen. Stock prices can jump and fall so quickly (even more quickly once you start talking options and derivatives) that it can give you that rush. (I wouldn’t recommend for gambling addicts!)

The solution is to go “Regular Joe” (i.e. Lazy) on 90% of your portfolio and allow yourself to “play” with the remaining 10% (any safe percentage, or absolute number, will do). With the 10% you can put it on individual stocks, experiment with options or futures or even foreign exchange, and feed desire for excitement.

The Compulsive Ticker Checker

When I first started working, I checked Yahoo! Finance every half hour while I was at work. I had some individual stocks in my Roth IRA and I was checking them every few minutes just to see what was going on. I did it because I didn’t really have much else to do at the time and it was just a way for me to read up on news, check to see if anything crazy was happening, and otherwise just kill time. The real solution to a compulsive ticker checker, if you want to reduce risk and still maintain market returns, is to select broad market index funds and add them to your online portfolio tracker. You’ll have plenty of information in those index fund news articles to keep you busy all day. Or get a hobby that isn’t investment related!

The Overworked

If you’re the type of person who wishes there were twenty-eight hours in a day, then you know that the reason your investments are being neglected is because you simply have too much on your plate. Rather than adjust your life’s priorities so you can invest properly, you should adjust your investments to match your life’s priorities. If you’re way too busy to look at your investments, even just once a year, then go with entirely lifecycle or target retirement funds. They are simply mutual funds comprised of other mutual funds, designed for a specific retirement date in mind. They handle all the allocations, all the re-balancing, and all the headache you simply don’t have the time to do yourself. They are also very affordable so you aren’t paying out the nose for someone to manage your investments.

Selecting the right style is crucial to ensuring long term success. If you’re a gambler (or have the itch of a gambler) and try to stick with a portfolio that doesn’t let you satisfy your desire for risk, you’ll end up making bad decisions somewhere once those bottled emotions get uncorked. If you’re overworked and don’t stick with something simple, things will fall through the cracks and your assets will suffer.

Which type(s) are you?

(photo: spencereholtaway)


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Introduction to Lazy Portfolios by jim on August 11, 2008

Lazy Cat MeooowEver heard of the Margarita portfolio? How about the Couch Potato portfolio? Or the No-Brainer portfolio? No?

They’re all Lazy Portfolios.

A Lazy Portfolio is one that you can just set it and forget it and relies on low cost index funds or ETFs. There’s nothing particularly special about any Lazy Portfolio, besides their use of low cost index funds, and one isn’t necessarily better than another in all economic scenarios. As with any investing strategy, there are pros and cons. The pros, that it’s simple and you make few decisions, results in cons in that you may become complacent and ignorant of your investment decisions. It’s better to keep it simple and well understood than to make it complex and obfuscated. I’d rather make a choice that turned out wrong than make a decision I didn’t understand.

How They Perform

Paul Farrell of MarketWatch tracks eight Lazy Portfolios each year and in 2008, they have extended their winning streak of beating the S&P 500 for the sixth year (on a three-year and five-year basis). In other words, having a one of the eight Lazy Portfolios over the last six years has gotten you a better return than the stock market itself. (This year, three of the portolio’s got beat because they had a lot of REIT funds, but they are still besting the S&P over the last few years).

Here are the funds with the best names: (some of which weren’t featured in Paul Farrell’s wrapup)

Couch Potato Portfolio

This portfolio is the brainchild of Dallas Morning News columnist Scott Burns and is as simple as they come. All you need is 50% in the Vanguard 500 Index Fund (VFINX) and 50% in the Vanguard Total Bond Fund Index Fund (VBMFX). That’s it. You can go a little more aggressive with the variant Sophisticated Couch Potato Portfolio of 75% in the Vanguard 500 Index Fund and 25% in the Vanguard Total Bond Fund Index Fund.

Margaritaville Portfolio

This portfolio is also another one of Scott Burns’s creations and is the second simplest portfolio with equal parts of three funds: Vanguard Inflation-Protected Securities (VIPSX), Vanguard Total International Stock Index (VGTSX), and Vanguard Total Stock Market Index (VTI).

No-Brainer Portfolio

Created by Dr. William Bernstein, a neurologist known for his work in modern portfolio theory and his book The Four Pillars of Investing, the No-Brainer Portfolio consists of four funds of equal weight: Vanguard 500 Index (VFINX), Vanguard Small Cap (NAESX) or (VTMSX), Vanguard Total International (VGTSX) or (VTMGX), and Vanguard Total Bond (VBMFX) or (VBISX). There is also a No-Brainer Coward’s Portfolio that includes 9 funds.

Coffeehouse Portfolio

This little gem was created by money manager Bill Schultheis, author of The Coffeehouse Investor: How to Build Wealth, Ignore Wall Street, and Get On With Your Life, created the Coffeehouse Portfolio that consists of seven funds:

  • 40% in Vanguard Total Bond Index (VBMFX)
  • 10% in Vanguard 500 Index (VFINX)
  • 10% in Vanguard Value Index (VIVAX)
  • 10% in Vanguard International Stock Index (VGTSX)
  • 10% in Vanguard REIT Index (VGSIX)
  • 10% in Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index (VISVX)
  • 10% in Vanguard Small-Cap Index (NAESX)

Those are the cooler sounding ones but there are many many others out there!

(Photo: tanakawho)


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We Are Living In Interesting Times… by jim on August 07, 2008

In the Summer 2008 issue of In The Vanguard, a newsletter The Vanguard Group sends out to its customers, the newsletter interviews two outgoing managers of their Wellesley Income Fund: Earl McEvoy and Jack Ryan. Both have years and years of experience in investing, managing several other funds, and the interview was enlightening.

Here’s my favorite question and its answer by Ryan (the whole interview):

There’s an old blessing (or curse), “May you live in interesting times.” You’ve guided your funds through some very interesting times. Which stand out?

Mr. Ryan: I think we’ve always lived in interesting times. For example, if you think back to the 1970s, before we were Vanguard portfolio managers, we had a major banking crisis. New York City was going bankrupt. Consolidated Edison cut its dividend—and electric utilities had never cut dividends. We had a recession, and the rise of the “Nifty Fifty” stocks. So we’ve always had interesting times. What’s different today, perhaps, is that there is more financial news coverage, which can make the situation of the moment feel very intense. (emphasis mine)

It’s interesting Ryan says that because its something I’ve come to learn after reading of the turbulence in the 70s and 80s. I’ve been listening to Alan Greenspan’s Age of Turbulence and things, at least numerically, seemed far worse in prior eras. We cry about a 20% drop since the highs of last October, but on Black Monday, October 19, 1987, the stock market fell 22.6% (508 points!). We talk about foreclosures, job losses, and inflation… all of which were far worse in previous bad economic times but the US economy endured. In the S&L crisis, 747 banks failed!

The sky isn’t falling, things aren’t that bad, we just live in interesting times and the media is making the most of it. Here’s what both managers believe is in store for the future, as well as some advice:

Economic news has been downbeat lately. What is your outlook for the U.S. economy?

Mr. McEvoy: With respect to the Federal Reserve, I think they are finally accomplishing the type of yield curve they want. If the Fed can keep short rates low, banks will be able to shore up their capital by borrowing short and lending a little bit longer. However, I don’t see how we avoid an increase in the inflation rate, which will put pressure on long-term bonds.

Mr. Ryan: The outlook is challenging, but if you’re thinking long-term, it’s an excellent opportunity to look for companies or mutual funds that are well-positioned for the future when the economy does recover. This is exactly when you want to increase your investment exposure.

The opportunities for investing are just as great today as ever. The world continues to develop. People want to do well. They want to grow their companies. They want to get ahead. There is a lot of wealth in the system that will be invested. The opportunities are there. It’s just a matter of studying, doing some work, trying to improve your judgment, and taking advantage of opportunities as they present themselves.


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Week in Numbers: Financial Turmoil! Sky Falling! by jim on July 04, 2008

-1917: Dow Fall In First Half of 2008 The Dow opened on January 2nd, 2008 at 13,261.82 and opened on July 1st, 2008 at 11,344.64 - for a spectacular fall of over 1,917 points. Don’t calculate the percentage, it’ll just make you throw up.


145: Oil Tops $145 This Week This week, a barrel of oil (NYMEX Sweet Crude) topped $145. A barrel of oil cost an average of $15.70 ten years ago (adjusted to 2007 dollars). I will be investing in a Flintstone-mobile. Here are the latest energy prices on Bloomberg. *sigh*


5.5%: Unemployment At 5.5% Can someone with better math, or better descriptive skills, explain why a 50% difference is only considered “slight?” We expected 40,000 fewer jobs in June, there are actually 62,000 fewer jobs… but it’s only slight. “Job losses in June were slightly worse than the 40,000 expected by economists surveyed…”


600: Starbucks Closing StoresStarbucks to close 600 stores with 12,000 affected workers. Stockholders rejoice as SBUX jumped 4.6% and MBA professors sob as one of the most referenced marketing case studies gets a black eye. At least there’s always Southwest.


$1.24B Project Genesis Cruise Ship by Royal Caribbean
Royal Caribbean’s Project Genesis, a cruise ship yet to be named, will be the most expensive and largest cruise ship ever constructed and will cost a mere $1.24 billion dollars. It will carry 6,400 passengers, weight 220,000 gross registered tons, and displace more water than a Nimitz-class aircraft carrier. (it wasn’t announced this week, in fact it was announced over a year ago, but it was worth putting in this week just because!)

Have a great Fourth of July Weekend!

(I’m going to start doing Week in Numbers [WIN] every Friday afternoon, please let me know what you think!)


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Your Take: What Are You Clueless About? by jim on May 30, 2008

Risk!I’m clueless about a lot of things but the number one thing on my mind lately has been risk in investing. I don’t mean stock market investing or real estate investing, I meant the concept of investing and risk (specifically, determining and being paid for taking risk).

Most people associate investing with the stock market because that’s the easiest way to invest. The stock market is the perfect investment system in that your assets are pretty liquid and the barriers to entry are low. It’s absolutely free to open a brokerage account and trades are dirt cheap (cheapest is $0 a trade at Zecco, but that has gotten mixed reviews; second cheapest reputable brokerage is TradeKing). You can buy and sell stocks pretty easily as there is never a scramble to find interested parties, though the price you get may not be to your liking. You hope for good equity appreciation (increase in stock price) and perhaps take some cash flow along the way (dividends). The rate of return on the S&P has been around 10% for the last 80+ years.

Now take the second thing people associate with investing - real estate. In real estate, the assets aren’t as liquid (especially now!) and the barriers to entry are much higher. At best you have to come up with a downpayment and transaction costs (Realtor fees, lender fees) are high, fewer people get involved in real estate investing. (Over the next two weeks I’ll have four guest posts going over real estate written by Trisha Allen, a seasoned real estate investor, so if this is up your alley keep your ear to the grindstone) With real estate, again you hope for good equity appreciation (increase in home value) and perhaps some cash flow (rent) along the way. The rate of return on this has generally been about inflation (surprisingly) according to some experts (they could be wrong).

There are other means of investing (such as owning your own Rita’s Italian Ice!) but the gist is to put your hard earned money to work for you. However, how do you analyze risk?

Every risk analysis class I’ve taken, be in undergrad or for the MBA, has always explained the same thing. You take the severity of a bad event times the probability and that’s your risk. They never talk about how to guesstimate the severity or the probability, just that you multiply and some magic number comes out. Also, they never talk about how much of a payoff you should get for shouldering how much risk. Real estate seems riskier to me than the stock market (higher barriers, more money involved, more headache), yet the stock market has greater returns. One expects riskier investments to yield greater returns.

Anyway, that’s what I’m clueless about, how about you?

(Photo by Patrick Haney)


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SmartMoney’s 2008 Best Discount Brokers by jim on May 29, 2008

Last week I wrote about a little preview to the SmartMoney 2008 Broker Survey in which SmartMoney released some preliminary results from their annual ranking of brokerage firms. SmartMoney has published the full details of their report and I’m sad to say that TradeKing did not retain the top spot they enjoyed the last two years (third place isn’t bad!).

Summary

SmartMoney changed the way they listed their rankings a little this year. Last year, they separated “discount” and “premium” brokers. Compare the tables from 2007 versus the tables from 2008, they went from three (premium, full-service, discount) to one (umm… everything).

Of the 2008 top 5 (they were, in order, E*Trade, Fidelity, TradeKing, TDAmeritrade, Charles Schwab), only TradeKing came from the 2007 Discount Brokers bracket and they took the third spot (so one could argue they are still reigning champs of the Discount Broker conference?), the rest came from premium brokers.

The Winner: E*Trade

E*Trade snagged the top spot this year with nearly five stars across the board. They also shared a nod for the best trading tools with TD Ameritrade and topped the list for best banking services (sharing that one with no other brokerage). When you can offer an interest rate of 3.25% on your holdings and not require thousands and thousands in the bank, it’s no surprise they were given the nod there. I personally enjoy using E*Trade for my stock trading because of this convenient link between the bank and brokerage.

Incidentally, in 2003’s rankings, E*Trade scored 9th in the “basic discount broker” category because of their $22.99 a trade commissions. It’s amazing what five years and “listening to feedback” can do for you.

The Top 5

Looking strictly at stars, not much separated the top five. While the criteria were not equally weighted, each one scored five stars in at least two categories and a minimum of three stars in each (in fact, only TD Ameritrade had two three-star categories, every other broker had only one).
Here were the concerns (and my comments) about the top five:

  1. E*Trade: None listed, they are so perfect. :)
  2. Fidelity: Commissions were on the high side, at $10.95, I agree. Though I don’t really consider Fidelity a discount broker (in 2007, they were considered “premium”).
  3. TradeKing: Weaker fund selection, though they were noted for low commissions ($4.95 a trade).
  4. TD Ameritrade: No negatives listed, though they only gained three stars in banking services. Their interest rate on cash of 0.1% was the lowest of all the sixteen listed brokers by far (second lowest was #9 Scottrade at 0.5%)
  5. Charles Schwab: Is Schwab really a discount broker? Commissions run $12.95 a pop, hardly “discount” prices, but they had only three-stars in customer service.

TradeKing: 2007’s #1 Discount Broker

Tradeking - Discount Online BrokerThey probably got hosed this year by the rejiggering of categories (they had to update their little award picture!) since they were the only one of the top five to have come from last year’s discount category. Of the top ten, they were the second cheapest to Interactive Brokers (a firm I hadn’t heard of before this year’s survey) by a significant margin (after TradeKing, second cheapest was Firstrade at $6.95, a 40% difference). TradeKing did score a ribbon for best customer service and were the only firm to earn five stars in that category.

Zecco: 14th of 16th - Ouch!

What about #14 Zecco with their free trades? (they get a lot of blog press) They scored very weakly across the board for each of the five categories (one star in Trading Tools, Research, and Customer Service) though they received special citation for the worst customer service of the bunch. The $0 per trade offer is a compelling offer but if you’re looking for some hand holding, you won’t get it. Tou get what you pay for ($0). If you only need a broker to enter your trade into the market, Zecco is a good deal; if you’ll ever need to talk to someone about anything… you might as well slide up the commission price chain and go with someone like #6 Firstrade ($6.95 a trade) or #3 TradeKing ($4.95 a trade). You shouldn’t be trading so much that much anyway (though Sharebuilder, the epitomy of buy and hold, took dead last). :)

There you have it, another year, another brokerage survey from SmartMoney. If you’re looking for a bank and brokerage in one, I personally recommend E*Trade because they make it easy to link up the two (open up one account and you can open the other within minutes online), which can be a good or a bad thing. :)

Source: SmartMoney’s Annual Broker Survey [SmartMoney]


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